Africa
Nigeria 2027: Ambode vs Muri-Okunola — Lagos Power Struggle Highlights Bola Tinubu’s Firm Hold on Succession
In Lagos, the language of politics is often coded long before it is declared. Alliances are tested in private, loyalties signalled in public appearances, and candidacies hinted at through carefully crafted messages of “service”. By the time voters are called to the polls, much of the real contest has already taken shape.
As the 2027 governorship race begins to crystallise, familiar patterns are re-emerging—though this time with unusual سرعت. A directive by Nigeria’s president, Bola Tinubu, requiring political appointees seeking elective office to resign by 31 March, has injected urgency into what is typically a slow, deliberate process. While framed as a matter of administrative clarity, the move has also been interpreted by analysts as an early effort to define the field ahead of party primaries.

Akinwunmi Ambode, former governor of Lagos State (left), and Hakeem Muri-Okunola, principal secretary to Bola Tinubu (right). © Rights reserved (montage: JAMG). Source: The Africa Report
Two figures have quickly come into focus: Akinwunmi Ambode and Tayo Muri-Okunola.
Ambode’s potential return carries echoes of past tensions within the state’s political establishment. His single term in office ended after he failed to secure his party’s nomination for re-election—an episode widely seen as reflecting internal disagreements rather than electoral defeat. His reappearance in the early permutations of the 2027 race is likely to revive questions about how power is negotiated within Lagos’ ruling structures, and whether political comebacks are determined as much by reconciliation as by ambition.
Muri-Okunola, by contrast, is viewed as a figure closely aligned with the continuity of the current system. Having operated within the upper tiers of Lagos governance, his profile reflects a different kind of political capital—one rooted in proximity to decision-making circles and long-standing institutional relationships. Supporters argue this experience positions him well for leadership; critics suggest it underscores the enduring influence of established networks.
The broader question is less about the individuals than about the nature of the contest itself. Lagos, Nigeria’s economic hub, has long been characterised by a highly structured political environment in which succession is carefully managed. Though competitive elections are held, the process leading up to them is often decisive.
Tinubu, a central figure in the state’s political evolution over the past two decades, remains widely regarded as influential in shaping outcomes. His recent directive has reinforced that perception, signalling both an assertion of authority and a desire to bring clarity to an emerging field of contenders.
Whether the 2027 race will follow a familiar script or open space for a more unpredictable contest remains to be seen. For now, the early manoeuvring suggests a system still defined by negotiation as much as by nomination.
As attention turns to party primaries and shifting alliances, the Lagos governorship race is once again offering a window into the mechanics of power in Nigeria—where the most consequential decisions are often made long before election day.
Africa
If Ebola Is Too Dangerous for America, It Is Too Dangerous for Kenya
A growing number of Kenyans are questioning why their country should bear the risks of hosting a quarantine facility for U.S. citizens exposed to Ebola when Kenya itself has no confirmed cases of the deadly virus.
The proposed facility at Laikipia Air Base in Nanyuki has become the centre of a national debate about public health, sovereignty, and whether Kenya’s leaders are placing the interests of foreign governments ahead of the safety of their own citizens.
For residents living near the proposed site, the issue is straightforward. They believe that individuals exposed to Ebola should be quarantined and treated in their own countries.
“Everybody should be quarantined in their home country. We shouldn’t allow foreigners to bring us diseases,” said Charles Mathenge, a taxi driver who lives near the air base, interviewed by The Guardian Newspaper.
“Kenya is our country, and we should be careful with it.”
His concerns reflect a wider sentiment spreading across the country. Many Kenyans argue that while international cooperation is important, it should never come at the expense of national safety. Kenya remains free of any known Ebola cases, yet the proposal would involve admitting individuals who may have been exposed to one of the world’s most dangerous infectious diseases.
The concerns are heightened by the nature of the current outbreak. Health authorities in Uganda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo are battling a resurgence of Ebola caused by the rare Bundibugyo strain, for which there is currently no approved vaccine or treatment. The World Health Organization has declared the outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The virus is believed to have circulated undetected for weeks before the outbreak was officially declared.
As cases and deaths continue to rise in neighbour countries, many Kenyans are asking why their nation should voluntarily introduce an additional risk into a country that has so far remained unaffected.
At the heart of the controversy is what many view as a glaring double standard. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio recently stated that the United States “cannot and will not allow any cases of Ebola to enter the United States.” Yet Washington is reportedly seeking to establish a quarantine facility in Kenya for American citizens potentially exposed to the virus.
For critics, this raises an uncomfortable question: if the United States considers the risk too great for its own population, why should Kenya be expected to accept it?
The contradiction becomes even more striking when considering that during previous Ebola outbreaks, American citizens were often repatriated to the United States for treatment. More recently, an American doctor who contracted Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo was transferred to Germany for care alongside his family.
This has fuelled accusations that Kenya is being treated as a convenient buffer zone rather than an equal partner.
The backlash has extended beyond local residents. Medical professionals have been among the most vocal opponents of the plan. Interviewed by The Guardian Newspaper, Dr. Davji Atellah of the Kenya Medical Practitioners, Pharmacists and Dentists Union warned that Kenya should not be turned into what he described as a “containment colony.”
His statement captured a broader concern that developing countries are too often expected to absorb risks that wealthier nations are unwilling to shoulder themselves.
“If it is too dangerous for America, it is too dangerous for Kenya,” he argued.
The controversy has also exposed deeper questions about governance and national sovereignty. Following a petition by the Katiba Institute, the High Court in Nairobi temporarily blocked the establishment of the facility and the admission of Ebola-exposed individuals into Kenya. The petitioners argued that any agreement between the Kenyan and U.S. governments must be subjected to public scrutiny and constitutional safeguards, particularly when public health and national security are involved.
The court’s intervention reflects growing concerns that decisions with potentially far-reaching consequences for millions of Kenyans cannot be made behind closed doors.
Beyond the immediate health concerns lies a larger principle. Every government has a primary responsibility to protect its citizens. International partnerships should strengthen national security, not weaken it. For many Kenyans, the Ebola quarantine proposal is not simply about a medical facility—it is about whether Kenya’s sovereignty, public safety, and national interests are being adequately defended.
The message from residents of Nanyuki and many others across the country is clear: Kenya cannot afford to gamble with the health of its people. As one resident put it, “We don’t have another country to run to.”
In a world where powerful nations increasingly prioritize their own security and public health, many Kenyans believe their government must do the same. Protecting citizens from preventable risks is not isolationism; it is a fundamental duty of the state. The debate over the proposed Ebola facility has therefore become a test of whether Kenya will place the wellbeing of its people first, or allow external interests to dictate decisions that could have lasting consequences for the nation.
Africa
AfCFTA Aims to Unite Africa’s Fragmented Markets Into a Single Trading Bloc
The African Continental Free Trade Area, known as the AfCFTA, brings together all 55 member states of the African Union into a single trading bloc, an effort to knit together one of the world’s most fragmented markets. By lowering barriers across eight regional economic communities, the agreement is intended to allow goods and services to move more freely across borders, strengthening Africa’s position in global trade.
Economists say the pact could significantly reshape commerce within the continent. Estimates suggest that eliminating import duties alone could increase intra-African trade by more than 50 percent, with even larger gains possible if governments also address non-tariff barriers such as customs delays and regulatory hurdles.
For many businesses, the current system remains paradoxical: exporting within Africa is often more expensive than trading with partners outside the continent, with average tariffs hovering around 6.1 percent. The agreement aims to reverse that dynamic by gradually reducing these costs, opening access to a larger and more integrated market.
Over the longer term, proponents argue, the AfCFTA could help drive structural transformation. Some projections suggest that, if fully implemented, it could expand Africa’s combined economic output to as much as $29 trillion by mid-century, though much will depend on how effectively member states follow through on reforms.
Africa
Republic of Congo’s Denis Sassou Nguesso, 83, Secures Fifth Term in Power
The Republic of Congo’s president, Denis Sassou Nguesso, was sworn in this week after securing a fifth consecutive term, extending a rule that now spans nearly 42 years. Provisional results announced on Tuesday by the officials put his share of the vote at 94.82% on Sunday’s poll — a margin that, while striking, had been widely anticipated.
The official turnout figure, 84.65%, raised immediate questions. State television reported high participation, yet scenes from polling stations in the capital, Brazzaville, suggested a more subdued reality, with many centres registering thin crowds or none at all. The discrepancy has reinforced longstanding doubts about the transparency of the electoral process.
![President Denis Sassou Nguesso casts his vote at a polling station in Brazzaville during the Republic of Congo’s presidential election, 15 March 2026. [Congo Presidency/Handout via Reuters]](https://aukmedia.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/DS-300x169.png)
President Denis Sassou Nguesso casts his vote at a polling station in Brazzaville during the Republic of Congo’s presidential election, 15 March 2026. [Congo Presidency/Handout via Reuters]
The election unfolded against the backdrop of an opposition boycott. Two key parties withdrew, alleging unfair conditions, while prominent figures such as General Jean-Marie Michel Mokoko and André Okombi Salissa — both imprisoned for nearly a decade — were absent from the contest. Their exclusion further narrowed an already limited field.
Restrictions in the run-up to the vote added to concerns. Internet access was cut, as has become routine during presidential elections, and movement across Brazzaville was constrained. Human rights groups reported arrests of activists, the suspension of opposition parties and tight monitoring of public gatherings, contributing to what critics describe as a climate of repression.
These dynamics reflect deeper structural patterns. Since returning to power after the 1997 civil war, Sassou Nguesso has consolidated control over state institutions. A 2015 constitutional referendum removed age and term limits, enabling him to extend his tenure and further entrench incumbency.
Yet the political continuity contrasts sharply with the country’s economic fragility. Despite significant oil and mineral wealth, the Republic of Congo remains heavily indebted. According to the World Bank, public debt stands at around 94.5% of gross domestic product, underscoring the persistent gap between resource revenues and broader development outcomes.
The scale of Sassou Nguesso’s victory, combined with the conditions under which it was secured, is likely to deepen scrutiny of both the electoral framework and the prospects for political pluralism. As the new term begins, questions around governance, economic management and eventual succession remain unresolved, even as the contours of power appear largely unchanged.
If Ebola Is Too Dangerous for America, It Is Too Dangerous for Kenya
AfCFTA Aims to Unite Africa’s Fragmented Markets Into a Single Trading Bloc
Republic of Congo’s Denis Sassou Nguesso, 83, Secures Fifth Term in Power
ECOWAS at 50: President Obasanjo Warns of Declining Trust and Growing Divisions at Oxford Forum
Why Are More Black Britons Applying to Oxford University?
