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South Africa Snubbed at G7 Summit: A Diplomatic Setback

The upcoming G7 summit in Evian-les-Bains (June 15–17) will include leaders from India, South Korea, Brazil, and Kenya—but conspicuously absent is South Africa. Officially, the French presidency framed the summit as an effort to engage a broader group of democratic, market-based economies to tackle global challenges, including a looming financial crisis. Yet South Africa’s exclusion reveals a far more contentious political calculus.

China will not attend and continues to question the G7’s legitimacy, labeling it a “club of rich countries.” Meanwhile, South Africa’s disinvitation exposes the uneven power dynamics shaping global diplomacy. Initially invited by French President Emmanuel Macron during the G20 summit in South Africa in November 2025, President Cyril Ramaphosa was later disinvited under direct pressure from the United States. Vincent Magwenya, Ramaphosa’s spokesperson, confirmed that Washington threatened to boycott the G7 if South Africa attended.

South Africa’s relationship with Trump’s administration has been tense for years, fueled by disputes over the alleged exodus of White South Africans to the US and Pretoria’s decision to take Israel to the International Court of Justice over its actions in Gaza. The tensions are further compounded by South Africa’s role as one of the strongest members of BRICS, a bloc championed by Russia, often positioning itself against Western-led initiatives.

Emmanuel Macron tried to uphold France’s autonomy in the face of US pressure, though analysts suggest Trump’s administration played a key role in South Africa’s exclusion. France and South Africa maintain strong diplomatic ties: in 2021, trade between the two countries rose by over 20% to €2.6 billion, with South Africa as France’s largest partner in Sub-Saharan Africa, its biggest customer, and second-largest supplier. Nearly 370 French companies operate in South Africa, making France the 11th largest foreign investor, with FDI stock exceeding €3 billion in 2020.

Replacing South Africa with Kenya, whose president is widely seen as aligned with US and Western interests, underscores the political nature of G7 invitations. Rather than serving as a neutral platform for global economic dialogue, the summit increasingly appears a stage for enforcing geopolitical allegiances, leaving South Africa—and broader African representation—on the sidelines.

Africa

AfCFTA Aims to Unite Africa’s Fragmented Markets Into a Single Trading Bloc

The African Continental Free Trade Area, known as the AfCFTA, brings together all 55 member states of the African Union into a single trading bloc, an effort to knit together one of the world’s most fragmented markets. By lowering barriers across eight regional economic communities, the agreement is intended to allow goods and services to move more freely across borders, strengthening Africa’s position in global trade.

Economists say the pact could significantly reshape commerce within the continent. Estimates suggest that eliminating import duties alone could increase intra-African trade by more than 50 percent, with even larger gains possible if governments also address non-tariff barriers such as customs delays and regulatory hurdles.

For many businesses, the current system remains paradoxical: exporting within Africa is often more expensive than trading with partners outside the continent, with average tariffs hovering around 6.1 percent. The agreement aims to reverse that dynamic by gradually reducing these costs, opening access to a larger and more integrated market.

Over the longer term, proponents argue, the AfCFTA could help drive structural transformation. Some projections suggest that, if fully implemented, it could expand Africa’s combined economic output to as much as $29 trillion by mid-century, though much will depend on how effectively member states follow through on reforms.

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Africa

Republic of Congo’s Denis Sassou Nguesso, 83, Secures Fifth Term in Power

The Republic of Congo’s president, Denis Sassou Nguesso, was sworn in this week after securing a fifth consecutive term, extending a rule that now spans nearly 42 years. Provisional results announced on Tuesday by the officials put his share of the vote at 94.82% on Sunday’s poll — a margin that, while striking, had been widely anticipated.

The official turnout figure, 84.65%, raised immediate questions. State television reported high participation, yet scenes from polling stations in the capital, Brazzaville, suggested a more subdued reality, with many centres registering thin crowds or none at all. The discrepancy has reinforced longstanding doubts about the transparency of the electoral process.

 

President Denis Sassou Nguesso casts his vote at a polling station in Brazzaville during the Republic of Congo’s presidential election, 15 March 2026. [Congo Presidency/Handout via Reuters]

President Denis Sassou Nguesso casts his vote at a polling station in Brazzaville during the Republic of Congo’s presidential election, 15 March 2026. [Congo Presidency/Handout via Reuters]

At 82, Sassou Nguesso entered the race as the dominant political force, facing six relatively unknown challengers. Analysts and diplomats had predicted an easy victory, citing both the imbalance of resources and the broader political environment. During the campaign, the president alone conducted a nationwide tour, projecting visibility and control, while his rivals struggled to gain traction.

The election unfolded against the backdrop of an opposition boycott. Two key parties withdrew, alleging unfair conditions, while prominent figures such as General Jean-Marie Michel Mokoko and André Okombi Salissa — both imprisoned for nearly a decade — were absent from the contest. Their exclusion further narrowed an already limited field.

Restrictions in the run-up to the vote added to concerns. Internet access was cut, as has become routine during presidential elections, and movement across Brazzaville was constrained. Human rights groups reported arrests of activists, the suspension of opposition parties and tight monitoring of public gatherings, contributing to what critics describe as a climate of repression.

These dynamics reflect deeper structural patterns. Since returning to power after the 1997 civil war, Sassou Nguesso has consolidated control over state institutions. A 2015 constitutional referendum removed age and term limits, enabling him to extend his tenure and further entrench incumbency.

Yet the political continuity contrasts sharply with the country’s economic fragility. Despite significant oil and mineral wealth, the Republic of Congo remains heavily indebted. According to the World Bank, public debt stands at around 94.5% of gross domestic product, underscoring the persistent gap between resource revenues and broader development outcomes.

The scale of Sassou Nguesso’s victory, combined with the conditions under which it was secured, is likely to deepen scrutiny of both the electoral framework and the prospects for political pluralism. As the new term begins, questions around governance, economic management and eventual succession remain unresolved, even as the contours of power appear largely unchanged.

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Africa

Burkina Faso Dissolves NGOs in Push for State Sovereignty, Said Ibrahim Traore Amid Rising tensions with civil society

Burkina Faso’s military authorities have ordered the dissolution of more than 100 civil society organisations, in a sweeping move that rights groups say marks a deepening assault on fundamental freedoms.

The decree, announced on Wednesday by the Ministry of Territorial Administration, mandates the closure of 118 associations and non-governmental organisations and prohibits their activities, citing compliance with existing legal provisions. Many of the affected groups are engaged in human rights advocacy.

The decision represents the latest step in a broader tightening of political space under the junta led by Ibrahim Traoré, which seized power in a 2022 coup and has since moved to curb opposition, trade unions and public assembly.

In recent months, the government has escalated its campaign against organised civil society. A law introduced last year imposed new restrictions on the operations of rights groups, followed by suspensions and revocations of permits for dozens of organisations on administrative grounds. Earlier this year, political parties were formally dissolved after a prolonged suspension.

Officials have framed the measures as necessary to enforce regulatory compliance, with territorial administration minister Emile Zerbo warning that any breach of the new rules would be met with legal sanctions.

Human rights organisations have sharply criticised the move. Amnesty International described the dissolutions as a “flagrant attack” on freedom of association and warned of an intensifying crackdown on civic space in the Sahel state.

Analysts see the latest decree as part of a broader strategy to consolidate authority and limit dissent, as the government continues to confront a protracted insurgency linked to groups affiliated with al-Qaeda and Islamic State. Authorities have repeatedly accused some internationally funded organisations of acting as conduits for foreign interference, a claim civil society actors strongly deny.

The dissolutions underscore the increasingly fraught relationship between the state and civil society in Burkina Faso, where the boundaries of political participation continue to narrow under military rule.

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